The Impending Bitcoin CRASH! Is Nvidia Still A Good Play?

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Hey Options Trader,

This week Bitcoin and Microstrategy ($MSTR) stole the show. The euphoria was so wild, I almost got sucked in to a trade that would have gone against my principles and left me with a loss on the week. We stayed strong and did the boring bread and butter strategy on my favorite stocks.

Let’s talk about the market going into Christmas. Will their be a Christmas rally?

Here’s what we are covering:

1. $SPY and VIX…is the market rally over?

2. $NVDA - is Nvidia still a good play even though earnings didn’t surprise investors to the upside?

3. Bitcoin and MSTR - Is this the top?

4. Rolling Options - My Strategy

$SPY and VIX - Is the market rally over?

SPY seems to be trading on low volume this week. We may see the markets in a sideways range going into Thanksgiving week. VIX contracted to 15, but is staying more elevated than I expected. I think next week will be more of a boring range bound week. Perfect time to collect some premium on December options and position yourself in stocks you think will be strong into 2025.

For me, I loaded up on $PLTR LEAPS…I finally got fed up with the stock running away from me. This will be a long term hold. 1 year minimum.

I also loaded up on QQQ LEAPS for capital efficiency so I could sell more puts on my favorite stock! I’ll be covering this later in the email.

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Final Call: Invest in RYSE Before the Round Ends!

$NVDA - Is Nvidia still a good play or am I ditching it?

Nvidia earnings according to the financials were actually PHENOMENAL. They continue to beat expectations, but the stock didn’t go up this time. It’s trading below where it was prior to earnings today @ $141.

This is the perfect scenario for someone who believes in the growth of the company and wants a discount on the stock.

Nvidia P/E ratio went from 67 to 55 after earnings because they are earning more per share than previously.

Last year the P/E Ratio was above 200. This means last year people were okay paying 200x earnings. If you loved Nvidia last year, you love them 4x as much now.

Today I upped my Cash secured puts from 7 contracts to 12 contracts and I still own 400 shares. The premiums are phenomenal, the stock is phenomenal, and I plan on milking this stock until P/E ratio is way to high.

Bitcoin & $MSTR - Is the crash about to happen?

If you look at every bitcoin cycle, we have gone through serious price discovery and then reversion back to fair value. Is $100k fair value? Maybe, but I don’t believe there is much juice left. I’m not a Bitcoin bear, I like Bitcoin, I have just been through many cycles since mid 2017.

My prediction is that we top somewhere between $120k-$150k which is still a significant rise from here, but this could happen in the matter of a few days.

If you are in Bitcoin, great! Either hold forever or take some profits off the table soon.

If you are thinking about getting into Bitcoin, risk to reward is not worth it. I sold my altcoins when bitcoin was at 65k and many of my good friends with millions just sold today.

Wait for good entry which should be sometime next year or 2026.

I could be wrong, but my principles of risk to reward stay the same.

$MSTR almost sucked me in this week. The premiums were so rich you were able to sell puts $100 points away and still make $3k-$5k per contract which is absolutely nuts!

When selling options, especially doing the wheel strategy, you must ask yourself “Do I believe in this company and would I be comfortable owning it at this price?”

For me it was no so I backed out and went full force on Nvidia.

If you believe in $MSTR, wait for huge pullbacks only like we had this week and sell puts at strike prices you would be comfortable owning 100 shares of the stock. Never buy or sell puts when MSTR is above the top Bollinger band or you will get smoked like what happened to many this week.

Rolling Options Tutorial

Have a great weekend!

-Ryan